Desk grade
7.5
6.5 – 8.0
Range from this photo. Not a PSA, BGS, or SGC cert.
- Centering
- 7.5
- Corners
- 7.5
- Edges
- 7.5
- Surface
- 7.5
Estimate from catalog averages, not a live surface check.
Glare, blur, and parallels get missed. The grading company still has the cert.
Value
Close call
$270
Raw · $160 – $420
Desk book
Raw
$270
$160 – $420
PSA 10
$520
PSA 9 $240
The math is close. Slab if you want liquidity and a cert; stay raw if you like the card in hand.
Grade yield
46% chance of PSA 9+. Net potential upside: −$31 after grading costs. Leave it raw.
PSA regular · $50 fee · $15 ship · $8 insurance · about 45 days. Shifted by this photo's 7.5 and 62,400 graded copies. Not a PSA yield.
Raw $270 · PSA 10 $520 · PSA 9 $240 · PSA 8 no book
- PSA 1014% · pop 14,200+$116 after fee
- PSA 931% · pop 28,600-$127 after fee
- PSA 811%
Net is the slab price minus a 13% take, ship pad, a $50 fee, and raw. A 10 is not the likely outcome of a 9 photo.
Hold or sell
Mixed book — no rush
Liquidity 65
Basketball is in its long season. Stars stay liquid. Commons do not. One census snapshot — not a live pop velocity.
Trust shield
Check these tells
A phone photo cannot measure font kerning or a rosette against a reference set. These are the known tells for this issue.
- True Prizm silver refracts under a moving light — flat gray is a counterfeit
- Chrome stock has a specific snap; paper-backed 'chrome' is fake
Liquidity
List this copy
Title, desk grade, and comps in one block. We do not submit it for you.
Authenticity
Likely authentic
Visual review, not a cert.
Census match on a well-documented issue. Still verify holograms, stamps, and stock in hand — photos miss texture.
- Print and type match known copies of this issue
- Stock and finish consistent with the set
- Base Prizm, not the silver. Confirm the Prizm mosaic and 2018 Panini copyright.
Census
How many exist
Graded
62,400
Gem mint
14,200
Gem rate
22.8%
Available now
318
- PSA 928,600 pop · 164 listed
- PSA 1014,200 pop · 71 listed
Compiled census estimate (PSA/BGS public pops)
Last sale · PSA 10 · $490 · Sep 2026
Comps
Sales tape
Desk book until you pull a live market read.
PSA 9 · Fanatics
Sep 2, 2026
$224
Raw · eBay
Aug 21, 2026
$294
PSA 10 · PWCC
Jun 24, 2026
$501
PSA 9 · Fanatics
Aug 23, 2026
$217
PSA 9 · eBay
May 21, 2026
$225
PSA 9 · Goldin
Jun 12, 2026
$233
PSA 10 · PWCC
Jul 20, 2026
$536
On the market
Open a live search on the desks that actually print paper.
Desk
If you send it in
Set the grade you think you have and the service you would buy.
- At Raw
- $270
- Raw now
- $270
- Gem book
- $520
- Lift after fees
- -$50
Keep it raw · 45-day regular at $50.
Tells
How fakes fail
Border registration and copyright lines catch most reprints.
- Red Fleer borders must register with the photo — drift is common on fakes
- Confirm the 1986 Fleer copyright line, not a later Fleer logo
- Upper Deck holograms must show the diamond; flat silver stickers fail
- Centering on these issues is wild even on real copies — don't use it as a fake tell
On this issue: Base Prizm, not the silver. Confirm the Prizm mosaic and 2018 Panini copyright.
Centering & surface
Meter L/R and T/B from this photo, then loupe the print. A hint at what PSA, BGS, or SGC might say — not a cert.
Scan a photo of this copy to measure borders.
Lot notes
The Luka that actually sells. Silver is the next shelf; this is the daily driver.