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Luka Dončić

2018 · Donruss Optic · #177

RawBasketball

Luka Dončić

2018 · Donruss Optic · #177

Open census rowOpen desk

Desk grade

7.5

6.5 – 8.0

Range from this photo. Not a PSA, BGS, or SGC cert.

Centering
7.5
Corners
7.5
Edges
7.5
Surface
7.5

Estimate from catalog averages, not a live surface check.

Glare, blur, and parallels get missed. The grading company still has the cert.

Value

Close call

$360

Raw · $210 – $580

Desk book

Raw

$360

$210 – $580

PSA 10

$740

PSA 9 $320

The math is close. Slab if you want liquidity and a cert; stay raw if you like the card in hand.

Grade yield

47% chance of PSA 9+. Net potential upside: −$24 after grading costs. Leave it raw.

PSA regular · $50 fee · $15 ship · $8 insurance · about 45 days. Shifted by this photo's 7.5 and 34,800 graded copies. Not a PSA yield.

Raw $360 · PSA 10 $740 · PSA 9 $320 · PSA 8 no book

  • PSA 1014% · pop 7,800+$217 after fee
  • PSA 932% · pop 16,400-$147 after fee
  • PSA 811%

Net is the slab price minus a 13% take, ship pad, a $50 fee, and raw. A 10 is not the likely outcome of a 9 photo.

Hold or sell

Mixed book — no rush

Liquidity 65

Basketball is in its long season. Stars stay liquid. Commons do not. One census snapshot — not a live pop velocity.

Trust shield

Check these tells

A phone photo cannot measure font kerning or a rosette against a reference set. These are the known tells for this issue.

  • True Prizm silver refracts under a moving light — flat gray is a counterfeit
  • Chrome stock has a specific snap; paper-backed 'chrome' is fake

Liquidity

List this copy

Title, desk grade, and comps in one block. We do not submit it for you.

88Score

Authenticity

Likely authentic

Visual review, not a cert.

Census match on a well-documented issue. Still verify holograms, stamps, and stock in hand — photos miss texture.

  • Print and type match known copies of this issue
  • Stock and finish consistent with the set
  • Optic, not Donruss paper. Shockwave and rated rookies are different SKUs.

Census

How many exist

Graded

34,800

Gem mint

7,800

Gem rate

22.4%

Available now

156

  • PSA 916,400 pop · 82 listed
  • PSA 107,800 pop · 34 listed

Compiled census estimate (PSA/BGS public pops)

Last sale · PSA 10 · $705 · Sep 2026

Comps

Sales tape

Desk book until you pull a live market read.

  • Raw · Heritage

    Aug 28, 2026

    $335

  • Raw · Fanatics

    Jul 20, 2026

    $384

  • PSA 9 · Fanatics

    Jul 12, 2026

    $291

  • PSA 9 · Goldin

    May 11, 2026

    $347

  • Raw · eBay

    May 16, 2026

    $387

  • PSA 9 · eBay

    Jul 6, 2026

    $322

  • Raw · PWCC

    Feb 9, 2026

    $362

On the market

Open a live search on the desks that actually print paper.

Desk

If you send it in

Set the grade you think you have and the service you would buy.

At Raw
$360
Raw now
$360
Gem book
$740
Lift after fees
-$50

Keep it raw · 45-day regular at $50.

Tells

How fakes fail

Border registration and copyright lines catch most reprints.

  • Red Fleer borders must register with the photo — drift is common on fakes
  • Confirm the 1986 Fleer copyright line, not a later Fleer logo
  • Upper Deck holograms must show the diamond; flat silver stickers fail
  • Centering on these issues is wild even on real copies — don't use it as a fake tell

On this issue: Optic, not Donruss paper. Shockwave and rated rookies are different SKUs.

Centering & surface

Meter L/R and T/B from this photo, then loupe the print. A hint at what PSA, BGS, or SGC might say — not a cert.

Scan a photo of this copy to measure borders.

Lot notes

Optic Luka lists every day. Holo and Downtown are not this row.