Desk grade
7.5
6.5 – 8.0
Range from this photo. Not a PSA, BGS, or SGC cert.
- Centering
- 7.5
- Corners
- 7.5
- Edges
- 7.5
- Surface
- 7.5
Estimate from catalog averages, not a live surface check.
Glare, blur, and parallels get missed. The grading company still has the cert.
Value
Close call
$480
Raw · $280 – $820
Desk book
Raw
$480
$280 – $820
PSA 10
$1,100
PSA 9 $420
The math is close. Slab if you want liquidity and a cert; stay raw if you like the card in hand.
Grade yield
49% chance of PSA 9+. Net potential upside: −$20 after grading costs. Leave it raw.
PSA regular · $50 fee · $15 ship · $8 insurance · about 45 days. Shifted by this photo's 7.5 and 26,800 graded copies. Not a PSA yield.
Raw $480 · PSA 10 $1,100 · PSA 9 $420 · PSA 8 no book
- PSA 1013% · pop 5,400+$410 after fee
- PSA 936% · pop 14,200-$180 after fee
- PSA 811%
Net is the slab price minus a 13% take, ship pad, a $50 fee, and raw. A 10 is not the likely outcome of a 9 photo.
Hold or sell
Mixed book — no rush
Liquidity 65
Football is in season. A crowded list usually gets hit before the quiet months. One census snapshot — not a live pop velocity.
Trust shield
Check these tells
A phone photo cannot measure font kerning or a rosette against a reference set. These are the known tells for this issue.
- True Prizm silver refracts under a moving light — flat gray is a counterfeit
- Chrome stock has a specific snap; paper-backed 'chrome' is fake
Liquidity
List this copy
Title, desk grade, and comps in one block. We do not submit it for you.
Authenticity
Likely authentic
Visual review, not a cert.
Census match on a well-documented issue. Still verify holograms, stamps, and stock in hand — photos miss texture.
- Print and type match known copies of this issue
- Stock and finish consistent with the set
- Optic rated rookie. Holo and Downtown are different lots.
Census
How many exist
Graded
26,800
Gem mint
5,400
Gem rate
20.1%
Available now
112
- PSA 914,200 pop · 66 listed
- PSA 105,400 pop · 21 listed
Compiled census estimate (PSA/BGS public pops)
Last sale · PSA 10 · $1,040 · Sep 2026
Comps
Sales tape
Desk book until you pull a live market read.
PSA 10 · Fanatics
Sep 18, 2026
$1,092
Raw · Heritage
Aug 11, 2026
$535
PSA 9 · Goldin
Aug 5, 2026
$428
Raw · Heritage
May 19, 2026
$499
PSA 9 · Goldin
Apr 16, 2026
$440
Raw · Heritage
Mar 2, 2026
$462
Raw · Fanatics
Jul 27, 2026
$513
On the market
Open a live search on the desks that actually print paper.
Desk
If you send it in
Set the grade you think you have and the service you would buy.
- At Raw
- $480
- Raw now
- $480
- Gem book
- $1,100
- Lift after fees
- -$50
Keep it raw · 45-day regular at $50.
Tells
How fakes fail
Ink, patch construction, and serial stamps must agree.
- On-card autos have ink soak; sticker autos sit on top
- Serial numbering stamp weight and placement are copied poorly
- Patch layers should match the known player/set construction
- Championship Ticket vs Rookie Ticket is a different card — check the gold parallel
On this issue: Optic rated rookie. Holo and Downtown are different lots.
Centering & surface
Meter L/R and T/B from this photo, then loupe the print. A hint at what PSA, BGS, or SGC might say — not a cert.
Scan a photo of this copy to measure borders.
Lot notes
The Optic Mahomes that clears a show table. Still a working four-figure 10.