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Auston Matthews

2016 · Upper Deck · #201

RawHockey

Auston Matthews

2016 · Upper Deck · #201

Open census rowOpen desk

Desk grade

7.5

6.5 – 8.0

Range from this photo. Not a PSA, BGS, or SGC cert.

Centering
7.5
Corners
7.5
Edges
7.5
Surface
7.5

Estimate from catalog averages, not a live surface check.

Glare, blur, and parallels get missed. The grading company still has the cert.

Value

Close call

$270

Raw · $160 – $460

Desk book

Raw

$270

$160 – $460

PSA 10

$580

PSA 9 $240

The math is close. Slab if you want liquidity and a cert; stay raw if you like the card in hand.

Grade yield

47% chance of PSA 9+. Net potential upside: −$34 after grading costs. Leave it raw.

PSA regular · $50 fee · $15 ship · $8 insurance · about 45 days. Shifted by this photo's 7.5 and 18,600 graded copies. Not a PSA yield.

Raw $270 · PSA 10 $580 · PSA 9 $240 · PSA 8 no book

  • PSA 1012% · pop 3,400+$168 after fee
  • PSA 936% · pop 9,800-$127 after fee
  • PSA 811%

Net is the slab price minus a 13% take, ship pad, a $50 fee, and raw. A 10 is not the likely outcome of a 9 photo.

Hold or sell

Mixed book — no rush

Liquidity 65

Hockey season is open. Young Guns move. Base cards sit. One census snapshot — not a live pop velocity.

Trust shield

Check these tells

A phone photo cannot measure font kerning or a rosette against a reference set. These are the known tells for this issue.

  • Upper Deck Young Guns hologram must show the correct diamond under tilt
  • OPC vs Topps vs UD Young Guns are three different cards — read the back

Liquidity

List this copy

Title, desk grade, and comps in one block. We do not submit it for you.

88Score

Authenticity

Likely authentic

Visual review, not a cert.

Census match on a well-documented issue. Still verify holograms, stamps, and stock in hand — photos miss texture.

  • Print and type match known copies of this issue
  • Stock and finish consistent with the set
  • 2016-17 Young Guns. Confirm the UD YG template and Leafs home.

Census

How many exist

Graded

18,600

Gem mint

3,400

Gem rate

18.3%

Available now

86

  • PSA 99,800 pop · 52 listed
  • PSA 103,400 pop · 14 listed

Compiled census estimate (PSA/BGS public pops)

Last sale · PSA 10 · $545 · Sep 2026

Comps

Sales tape

Desk book until you pull a live market read.

  • PSA 10 · PWCC

    Aug 29, 2026

    $536

  • PSA 9 · PWCC

    Jul 24, 2026

    $256

  • Raw · PWCC

    Aug 8, 2026

    $283

  • PSA 9 · Goldin

    Jul 10, 2026

    $231

  • PSA 10 · Fanatics

    Apr 11, 2026

    $556

  • PSA 9 · Fanatics

    Feb 24, 2026

    $226

  • Raw · eBay

    Feb 16, 2026

    $299

On the market

Open a live search on the desks that actually print paper.

Desk

If you send it in

Set the grade you think you have and the service you would buy.

At Raw
$270
Raw now
$270
Gem book
$580
Lift after fees
-$50

Keep it raw · 45-day regular at $50.

Tells

How fakes fail

The hologram is the whole authenticity call.

  • Upper Deck Young Guns hologram must show the correct diamond under tilt
  • OPC vs Topps vs UD Young Guns are three different cards — read the back
  • Canvas and Clear Cut extras get sold as the flagship RC
  • 1979 OPC Gretzky is bilingual on the back; Topps is English-only

On this issue: 2016-17 Young Guns. Confirm the UD YG template and Leafs home.

Centering & surface

Meter L/R and T/B from this photo, then loupe the print. A hint at what PSA, BGS, or SGC might say — not a cert.

Scan a photo of this copy to measure borders.

Lot notes

Toronto paper. 10s list; raw is a weekly Hammer.